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Green Manufacturing: Thailand’s New Growth Engine as the World Bank Points to GDP +2.9%

The World Bank identifies Green Manufacturing as Thailand’s next major economic engine, with the potential to raise GDP by 2.9% by 2035 — how should Thai businesses prepare?

15 Mar 20269 min
Green ManufacturingSustainabilityEVWorld BankGreen Economy

When the World Bank Sees an Opportunity Thailand May Be Overlooking

In February 2026, the World Bank published its Thailand Economic Monitor, clearly stating that Advanced Green Manufacturing could become Thailand’s next economic engine and help the country move beyond the middle-income trap.

The standout figure is this: if Thailand can scale up green goods production to its full potential, GDP could increase by 2.9% by 2035 — equivalent to hundreds of billions of baht in additional economic value.


Strengths Thailand Already Has — Even If Many Don’t Realize It

A Global Leader in Energy-Efficient Air Conditioners

What many people may not know is that Thailand holds roughly one-third of the global market for reverse-cycle air conditioners — systems that provide both cooling and heating with high energy efficiency. This is a strength built over decades on top of a strong manufacturing base.

An Automotive Parts Base Ready to Adapt

Thailand has long been known as the “Detroit of Asia,” and the exciting part is that more than 80% of existing automotive parts production lines can be adapted to support EV component manufacturing. That means Thailand does not need to start from scratch.

Already Exporting High-Value Green Goods

Green goods already account for around 10% of Thailand’s total exports, or about US$10 billion in 2024. Meanwhile, EV-related exports already make up 4.3% of total exports.


3 Green Industries the World Bank Says Offer Thailand the Greatest Potential

1. Electric Vehicles (EVs) and Components

Thailand’s EV market is growing rapidly, with EV market share surging to 48% in January 2026. The World Bank stresses that Thailand should not be only an EV “user,” but an EV “producer” exporting both vehicles and components to global markets.

With its existing automotive manufacturing base, complete supply chain, and free trade agreements with multiple countries, Thailand already has the key ingredients to become a regional EV manufacturing hub.

2. Solar Panels and Clean Energy

Electricity generation from green energy is projected to grow 4–5% per year during 2026–2028. Thailand has the potential to manufacture solar panels and related equipment for both domestic use and export to neighboring countries that are accelerating their energy transition.

3. Energy-Efficient Air Conditioning and Cooling Systems

As the world gets hotter and demand for air conditioning rises every year, Thailand is in an ideal position to meet that demand with energy-efficient products. The global cooling technology market is expected to expand significantly over the next decade.


A $100 Million Investment from the World Bank

This is not just a report — the World Bank is also taking action. It has approved a US$100 million loan for Thailand’s Green Industrial Transformation project, with Map Ta Phut and Laem Chabang designated as pilot industrial zones.

The project has clear goals:

  • Reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 2.33 million tons of CO2
  • Upgrade factories in industrial zones to meet green standards
  • Develop clean energy infrastructure in industrial areas
  • Create a model Green Industrial Zone that can be expanded nationwide

What This Means for Thai Businesses

For Manufacturers and Factories

The shift to Green Manufacturing is no longer optional — it is increasingly becoming a trade requirement. Major export markets such as the European Union are beginning to enforce mechanisms like the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), which imposes costs on products with high carbon footprints.

Thai manufacturers that adapt early will be able to:

  • Protect export markets that are moving toward stricter environmental standards
  • Lower energy costs through clean energy and energy-efficient technologies
  • Access green finance with potentially lower borrowing costs

For the Service Sector

Service businesses will also be affected:

  1. Logistics — must prepare for green supply chains, from EV transportation to carbon footprint tracking
  2. Finance — green bonds and sustainability-linked loans are becoming some of the fastest-growing products
  3. Technology — MRV (Measurement, Reporting, Verification) systems for tracking greenhouse gas emissions are emerging as a new market

A 4-Step Strategy for Businesses Planning the Transition

Step 1: Carbon Footprint Assessment

Start with measurement — if you cannot measure it, you cannot manage it. Understand how much greenhouse gas your business emits, where those emissions come from, and how they are distributed across Scope 1, 2, and 3.

Step 2: Energy Transition Plan

Build an energy transition roadmap, from installing solar rooftops and sourcing clean power through PPAs (Power Purchase Agreements) to improving energy efficiency in production processes.

Step 3: Supply Chain Decarbonization

Work with suppliers to reduce emissions across the entire supply chain, because export markets are increasingly paying attention to Scope 3 emissions as well.

Step 4: Green Certification & Market Access

Obtain recognized green certifications such as ISO 14001, Carbon Neutral Certification, or the Ministry of Industry’s Green Industry standard to strengthen your competitive advantage.


An Opportunity That Won’t Wait

The World Bank forecasts Thailand’s GDP growth at only 1.6% in 2026, below the regional average. Green Manufacturing is one of the few realistic pathways that could help accelerate Thailand’s economy.

But this opportunity has an expiration date. Neighboring countries such as Vietnam, Indonesia, and Malaysia are also moving quickly to build green manufacturing capacity. Thailand has real strengths, but it must act fast before those advantages begin to fade.

Ready to plan your Green Transformation? Talk to the Enersys team to start your journey toward a greener industrial future.


References

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